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The Department of Strategic Surprise

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Focused Research Organizations

September 2, 2025

Fireside chat with Tom Kalil

Mickey McManus

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Videos. Books. Podcasts. History. Methods. People.

How might we surprise ourselves before we are surprised by a threat from outside what we consider possible? We explore the nearly impossible. If what seems to be impossible can be moved to being improbable, it might become inevitable.

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